Monday, February 01, 2010

How to make money in the markets with these golden tips

The best way to learn your investment lesson is by investing in equities. Each occasion in the market teaches new lessons, which will empower you to achieve your ultimate goal of building wealth.

Often, it happens that you start putting money in equities and the market moves to new highs. Then you are tempted to put in more money, since you are getting higher returns. Suddenly, the market starts to slide down. Forget returns on investment, you are not even able to recover your capital.

This is a common grouse of most investors. They either lose in equity investment or end up in a no profit-no loss situation. Why? Is it because you make wrong decision or because the market is only meant for speculators and gamblers?
No, that's not true. We go through this pain again and again because we do not learn from our previous experiences in the market. Only the 'smart investors' survive the ups and downs in the market and make pots of money.

Evaluate when you lose money in the market. Do not just shrug and say, "I am not going to invest any more!" Investing does not mean making no mistakes, it means learning from experience. All of us made mistakes, when we started - such as going by tips from broker or buying penny stocks. As time passed by, we learnt that by not following the herd, we may have limited gains but our capital will be protected.

Be patient when investing in the market. Investors who show the right kind of patience make the most from the stocks they invest in. You need to be patient by not booking losses at the slightest market provocation or by not selling stocks before they have reached an optimum price. Also, be patient by not panicking when in a market downslide or by not buying stocks which you know are good but currently priced higher.

Look for opportunities to invest. There will be many opportunities to grab in the market, such as FII selling, global downturn, credit crisis, currency crisis, etc. Each such occasion is to be looked at as an opportunity.

'Smart investors' will fill their pockets with the cr me de la creme stocks in the equity market on such occassions. For example, blue-chip stocks like BHEL, HDFC, NTPC and ITC were quoting low prices in the first quarter of last calendar year due to the global credit crisis. It was an opportunity to buy these stocks.

Look for quality advice before investing. Do not follow the herd mentality. Always remember, quality stock picking will help you generate substantial wealth over a period of time.  The quality picks can be large-cap, such as SBI, HDFC Bank and Tata Power or mid-caps such as Petronet LNG, Power Grid and Marico.

Learn to invest systematically. Getting into a systematic investment plan in mutual funds or directly in an equity portfolio is the preferred mode of investing. At the end of five to 10 years, this portfolio is likely to appreciate by leaps and bounds. If the market is in a bullish phase, the money may even double in less than three years.

Learn the importance of diversification. You can better your returns and reduce risks by diversifying your portfolio. You can diversify across asset classes like gold, commodity futures, property, etc, as well.

A profit booking policy is advisable. The profit booking policy can be based on expectations from equities. Suppose an investor  has put money in a stock and it rises by 100 per cent in a year, he may book profits either partially or fully. One strategy could be to book profits in a way that the initial investment is recovered and the profit portion continues to be invested in the stock.

Assess risks before investing in the market. Many a time, we invest in a particular stock or fund without assessing the risks involved with the stock. For example, sectors such as real estate or metals are riskier as compared to FMCG or power. If you don't have a high risk taking ability, do not go for risky stocks or sectors.

Do not borrow to invest. In a sliding market, such investors are most impacted, as they have to offload stocks due to margin calls or liquidity issues.

Do not chase momentum stocks. In most cases, investors enter such stocks at the peak and are stuck with these for a long period or have to sell at a loss. Some of the momentum stocks in the recent past were Unitech, DLF, Jet Airways, Reliance Industrial Infrastructure and Jai Corp. The prices of such stocks reach a peak on sustained buying and then slide, roller-coaster, in a few sessions.

Conclusion:

Investing requires continuous learning from the market. Like driving a car, investment is more of learning practically and hands on. It requires discipline.

When you are driving a car, what speed to drive and which lane to drive in are decided by the driver. Similarly, in case of investment, you must know how much to invest, where to do so and when to sell.

The best is to have a disciplined approach, combined with an investment philosophy. Some of the great investors like Warren Buffet or George Soros have been successful as they have a disciplined way of investing. There is no easy way to make money.

All of us have to learn lessons in investing in the same market and in the same way. Each time,  investors are put to different tests. Only the learned investors will succeed. Be a 'smart' investor.

Source: Rediff

Friday, January 15, 2010

Record date for Intra Infotech bonus issue announced

Intra Infotech has fixed 30 January 2010 as the record date for the purpose of issue of bonus shares to the existing shareholders of the company in the proportion of 2 bonus equity shares of Re 1 each for every 1 fully paid equity share of Re 1 each held on record date.

Thursday, January 14, 2010

Airline stocks take off as air traffic soars

Three airline stocks rose 1.04% to 5.23% on reports air traffic saw a whopping 33% increase with 44.8 lakh people flying within India in December 2009 against 33.7 lakh in December 2008.

SpiceJet (up 5.23%), Kingfisher Airlines (up 4.77%), Jet Airways (up 1.04%), soared.

Wednesday, January 13, 2010

Record date - Farmax Retail stock split

Farmax Retail (India) has fixed 28 January 2010 as the record date for
the purpose of sub-division/ stock split of Rs 10 per share of the
company into the shares of Rs 5 each.

Tulive Developers Rights Issue Announcement

Tulive Developers board approves rights issue. Tulive Developers Ltd
on Wednesday said that its board has approved fund raising worth Rs
49.68 lakh by issuing shares on rights basis. The issue of shares
would be in the ratio of 159 shares for every 64 equity shares held in
the company. Shares of Tulive rose around 5% to touch its upper
circuit of Rs 135.90 on the BSE.

Record date for Bajaj Electricals stock split announced

Bajaj Electricals has fixed 29 January 2010 as the record date for
subdivision of existing equity shares of the company from each 1
equity share of Rs 10 each into 5 equity shares of Rs 2 each

Sunday, November 01, 2009

IPO News and Buy Call - Stock Market India

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Panacea's reported mix set of numbers with a) Revenue grew by 15% to Rs1.69bn (est. of Rs1.65bn), b) Operating margins were flat at 16.6% (est. of 23%) and C) APAT of Rs21mn vs. loss of Rs20mn in Q2FY09 (est. of 128mn). Though revenue was in-line mainly because of 16% growth in vaccine business and 9% growth in formulation business, operating performance was mainly impacted because of higher contribution of TOPV vaccine where the realizations are low. Moreover, dollar depreciation had adverse impact at operational level as company had raw material at higher cost and revenue realization was at lower level. These two things have resulted gross margins to come down from 67.4% in Q2FY09 to 56.8% in Q2FY10 (on QoQ basis, gross margins were down by 1200 bps).

Since the supply of high margin MOPV1 has already resumed to UNICEF from Oct' 2009 onwards and with Pentavalent supply starting from Jan' 10 onwards, we expect company to report strong set of numbers from Q3FY10E onwards. We maintain our earning estimates of Rs13.9 and Rs22.5 for FY10E and FY11E and reiterate our 'Buy' rating with a target price of Rs225.

CMP: Rs 157 Target Price: Rs 225

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Sterlite Industries filed regulatory application for an initial public offering of Sterlite Energy to raise up to Rs 5100 crore.

Sterlite Energy intends to use the net proceeds from the initial public offer (IPO) to partially finance the construction and development of power projects in Jharsuguda and Talwandi. Sterlite Energy is engaged in the commercial power generation business and is currently developing two thermal power projects in India in Jharsuguda, Orissa and Talwandi, Punjab, with a combined proposed installed capacity of 4,380 megawatts.

 

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Sunday, June 28, 2009

Dena Bank 10-15% Upside Possible in 3 Months

Investment rationale

Branch distribution in rich belts helps CASA accumulation

For FY09, CASA for the bank stood at 36%. This is still one of the best in the small PSU banking universe. The major reason for such a consistently high CASA ratio is that majority of its branches are located in the western region especially in Gujarat and Maharashtra with a tally of 480 and 242 branches, respectively. Out of 1184 branches in FY09, these branches are CASA rich by nature.

Value buy even after recent run up

Let us consider a stress case scenario where all the GNPA for the bank turns bad. Assuming the GNPA to be at 2.6% for FY10E and 2.2% for FY11E at Rs 890 crore and Rs 953 crore, respectively, the adjusted net worth of the bank stands at Rs 2521 crore for FY11E, resulting in ABV of Rs 65 per share after considering a dilution in FY10E. We believe the stock can command 0.9x ABV (stress case) of Rs 65. We value the stock at Rs 58.5 per share.

Business momentum to stay steady, recapitalization expected in FY10E

The total business for the bank crossed Rs 72000 crore for FY09. The bank expects total business of around Rs 125,000 crore, by FY12E owing to its branch expansion plans and by enhancing efficiencies in its existing network. However, we feel the economic slowdown will delay the plans by a couple of years. We expect the total business to cross Rs 100000 crore in FY11E. We have considered recapitalization of Rs 500 crore from the GoI, which currently
owns 51% in the bank. This will lead to future balance sheet growth in FY10E.

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